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Specialist firms like PTC want to be players, but Apple and Google own the developers
Developers
are the new kingmakers, and nowhere will this resonate more than in the growing
Internet of Things market. In fact, the easiest way to pick winners in this
emerging field is to look for Internet of Things companies with the biggest
developer populations.
The hitch,
however, is that Internet of Things companies don't always label themselves as
such.
So while
IBM, Cisco, Jasper or Sierra Wireless like to position themselves as leaders in
the field, the reality is very different. Again, with developers in mind, the
big winners so far appear to be Apple and Google, as a new VisionMobile report
concludes.
And The
Developers Shall Inherit The Earth
As I've
written, to flourish the Internet of Things market needs millions of developers
by 2020. Fortunately, the market is actively minting new developers each day,
with the global Internet of Things developer population set to top 4.5 million
by 2020:
A
significant percentage of those developers live in the Asia-Pacific region, as
I've noted before. But the reality is that many Internet of Things developers
don't yet self-identify as such. They're just mobile developers, waiting to be
transformed into Internet of Things developers.
And Apple
and Google are in the pole position to do so.
Developers,
Developers, Developers
As
VisionMobile Q1 2015 Developer Economics survey data reveals, 53% of mobile
developers are already actively working on Internet of Things projects. The top
two markets within the field are smart homes (37% of relevant developers are
working in this area) and wearables (35%).
But the
real story isn't how many developers are working on Internet of Things, but how
many are getting paid to do so.
According
to VisionMobile's survey data, most developers working on these projects do so
as a hobby (30%) or as a side project (just under 20%), even as they continue
their day jobs building mobile apps. A further 12% are independents.
IoT
With
roughly half the Internet of Things developer audience doing so on the side,
the platforms that attract them will be those that require the least investment
in learning new skills.
Which means
an Internet of Things specialist like Sierra Wireless or PTC is at a
disadvantage against a mobile generalist like Google or Apple.
To The
Victor Goes The Spoils
After all,
Apple (HomeKit, Apple Watch, etc.) and Google (Nest, Android Wear, etc.)
already offer significant tools specific to the Internet of Things. But as
important as these are, it's even more important that they're raising a
generation of developers to prefer their mobile platforms, generally.
In an
earlier report, VisionMobile concludes, "The only way to make a profit in
the Internet of Things is to build a network of entrepreneurs who create unique
value on top of commodity hardware, connectivity and cloud services."
Those entrepreneurs, in turn, are fueled by developers, and Google and Apple
command fealty from millions of developers.
Over five
million of them, combined.
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