By Sophie-Charlotte
Moatti
Industry analysts predict
consumers will make $1 trillion in purchases
via mobile devices in 2015 and yet the ecosystem to make that happen is far
from being in place. Some innovators have experimented successfully to disrupt
traditional swipe-based point-of-sale payment systems, but incumbents have yet
to place their bet. This is stalling parts of our economy and creates
disruptive opportunities for alternative currencies such as Bitcoin. Truth is,
the alternative seems daunting.
Mobile costs
outweigh benefits
Despite all the hype around
m-payments, adoption in the United States has been slow and there are many good
reasons why.
First and foremost, current
mobile payment technologies such as NFC (Near Field Communication) or
beacons/BLE (Bluetooth Low Energy,) do not offer a meaningful enough benefit to
consumers, who are used to swiping their credit cards and find it easy enough.
Merchants do not benefir either as they would still incur a two-to-three
percent fee on non-cash transactions in addition to the high costs of switching
to a new system.
Next, the ecosystem is
extremely complex and suffers from the "tragedy of the commons."
Stakes are high for banks, telecom providers, payment providers, phone
manufacturers, and more. Sophisticated fraud schemes, unsorted business models,
conflicting consumer ownership and stringent chargeback rules favor the status
quo. No single player has an incenticve big enough to move until and unless
everyone moves in the same direction.
In such intricate
situations, regulators often intervene to set public policy, standards and
deadlines that act as forcing functions for every part to align. But in this
case, there is no compelling reason for them to do so due to the lack of
consumer benefit and hence the Federal Reserve is likely to stay on the
sidelines (unless it is compelled to get involved as it was with debit card
fees.)
Bitcoin could
enable m-payments tech
The most successful
m-payment systems have been built by startups like Square, Stripe and
Braintree, which PayPal recently acquired. While they have received great
traction monetizing new services such as AirBnb and Uber, and have been slowed
down by the recent banking crisis, they will have a hard time making a
compelling case to replace payment systems of more traditional marketplaces
considering the unfavorable cost/benefit analysis.
On the other hand,
retailers are seeing prices squished by e-commerce giants like Amazon and could
increase, and in some cases even double, their margins by cutting payment
transaction fees. Enter Bitcoin, a safe and secure payment system which charges
a minimal processing/miner fee. Bitcoins can be transferred anywhere in the
world in minutes instead of days or sometimes weeks with the current payment systems,
so merchants could receive their money much faster. Bitcoin is a disruptive
technology with the potential to shatter the existing ecosystem, but many
aspects of its own ecosystem still need to be ironed out, as the last few
months of issues have shown. So what is the alternative for incumbents?
Bitcoin vs.
m-wallet? Bitcoin wins
Offering retailers and
e-commerce marketplaces a set of value-added services in a comprehensive
m-wallet could help them retain consumers. These
services would include:
·
Payment acquisition, which lets consumers pay with
any form of payment, anytime and anywhere. From credit card to prepaid, direct
debit, checks or loyalty points.
·
Loyalty, which provides coupons and offers to the
right segment at the right time in the right place.
·
Multitouch attribution, which allows merchant to
optimize their marketing across platform.
·
Securitization, which banks will value because it
reduces individual risk.
·
Fast settlement, which would significantly speed
order-to-cash process and let money be transferred in hours instead of days or
weeks.
An m-wallet offering in the
U.S. will likely leverage the beacon/BLE technology over NFC because it has the
potential to create very light-touch and personalized consumer experiences and
because technologies such as Apple’s iBeacon could be more affordable to deploy
than NFC readers.
The increased consumer value of an m-wallet over current m-payment solutions may be enough to make the benefit of an upgrade outweigh the cost in the eyes of retailers, but so much needs to be worked out to get there, that the Bitcoin alternative needs to be prioritized and seriously considered by all players in the payment value chain.
The increased consumer value of an m-wallet over current m-payment solutions may be enough to make the benefit of an upgrade outweigh the cost in the eyes of retailers, but so much needs to be worked out to get there, that the Bitcoin alternative needs to be prioritized and seriously considered by all players in the payment value chain.
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