pocket-lint.com
What's going to be the next big thing after the Internet of
Things? It might be a massive trend right now, but once the standards have been
cracked and every device and appliance you own is connected to the cloud and
each other, eyes will be looking to the future.
Indeed, company research and developments labs are already
working on exactly that, even though it seems that we're only at the beginning
of the Internet of Things revolution. For consumers at least.
Intel's Genevieve Bell is already thinking about the next
step.
She is an Intel fellow and vice president of Intel Labs, as
well as director of User ExperienceResearch at the company, so is clearly on
the cutting edge of trying to figure out what's next.
Leading a team of social and computer scientists,
interaction designers, and human factors engineers, she has a good view of the
world of tech, not only from a traditional technology standpoint, but also from
a humanistic stance as well.
With that in mind, we asked her what she believed was coming
after the Internet of Things. And while she didn't say "killer
robots" as we'd hoped, a la Terminator, robotics was actually a big
element in her answer. As were virtual reality and the overall tech experience.
Of all the possible "next big things" Bell
believes they will be the three main categories that will dominate future
technological trends.
Job seeking, not killer robots
The first is really about how we see robots and how they
will adapt and fit into our lives. We aren't talking Nexus 6 androids from
Bladerunner, but more like those helpful service droids that are popular in
science fiction movies, such as Star Wars, Fifth Element and iRobot. They will
be doing the jobs we hate or find dull.
In reality, many of us already have robots in our houses; a
robotic vacuum cleaner, for example. That number is only likely to grow further
(Dyson is launching its robot vacuum cleaner later this year). And machine
learning is advancing rapidly. So while your household robot might not be a
cleaner per se, the concept of robots replacing menial tasks in the home and
the workplace is to be expected.
"Machine learning will play a big part," explained
Bell. "The robot piece becomes interesting when you don't look at
androids, but about things doing things for you physically."
It's no wonder then that Google is quietly buying up robotic
and artificial intelligence start-ups around the world. Companies like Intel
are investing heavily in the area too. But while it might seem exciting to have
your housework done by a mechanoid, there are some that highlight potential
issues too. Bell points towards research by management company McKinsey that
will make some stand up and panic.
According to McKinsey anywhere up to 140 million full time
jobs could be replaced by cognitive computing by 2025, with an economic impact
of $5 - $7 trillion (£4.6 trillion).
Robots might not kill you, therefore, but they might steal
our jobs.
Virtual reality
The second theme that could be significant is virtual
reality, although Bell thinks it could just be a flash in the pan based on the
excitement of the industry at the moment.
The anthropologist believes that the interesting play here
is the content and gaming aspect, but acknowledged that we've been talking
about VR for a long time and there are worries over the fact that it still
hasn't taken off.
From the early Hollywood versions seen in films like
Lawnmower Man to more recent examples, such as the head-up displays in Tony
Stark's Iron Man helmet, the studios' love affair with VR has fuelled
technology companies' eagerness to make it a reality. But while they have been
in development for several years now, Oculus Rift, Sony Morpheus and the rest
are still to bring the concept to market for consumers. At least in significant
fashion.
Experience
Perhaps the most interesting response from Bell about future
tech trends is that rather than a completely new genre, the Internet of Things
will mutate into something far bigger.
"What do you do with the data?" mused Bell over
the current application of the Internet of Things. "How you can go about
the next making sense of the data?"
Basically, if you can create algorithms that use the data
gleaned from connected devices in a meaningful fashion, the future looks
exciting.
We aren't just talking about enhancing and developing the
simple recommendation algorithms used by services like Netflix, where when you
watch something it recommends something you'd also like. Nor are we talking
about enabling Amazon to give you better "also buy this" results. The
future of tech that will influence each and every one of our lives will rely on
systems that use data that is already being created. It is about how that data
can reveal our wants needs and daily routines. And be used to improve our lives
in a good way.
"I'm not convinced what is the next big thing is an
'object', it is increasingly about experiences," said Bell.
She has a strong point, after all, we love our phones
because they do something for us, not simply because of the phone itself. It
will be the companies that can capture and deliver experiences above and beyond
what is on offer now that will win in the long run. It's all well and good
knowing how far you ran, what you ate for tea or how many times you've flushed
your toilet today. It is about how the devices you subsequently use improve
those activities.
Bell summed it up nicely. "The interesting question
isn't what's next, it is what we can do with what we've got right now,"
she said.
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